December 23rd, 2008
Happy Holidays from DeCarley Trading!
Liquidity absent as traders look forward to Holiday.
Despite a handful of widely followed economic reports, traders weren’t willing to participate in the thinly traded markets.  While some of the liquidity may come back on the Monday following Christmas, we likely won’t see a significant amount of increased interest [...]

COWS (Corn, Oats, Wheat and Soybeans)
The grain and soybean complex markets are now beginning to find support. I advised you before the fact that the record-breaking rallies would come to an end. And they did. The bubble finally burst. The declines came and they are still with us, however, we are in the ideal time [...]

November 13th, 2008
See me in the latest issue of “Technical Analyst”, Trading Volatility with the VIX
Bond trade stalls, another rally looming?
Incredibly low yields have lured Treasury market bears back to the markets.  According to the latest COT (Commitment of Traders) data, both small and large speculators are heavily short.   Given the lack of upward [...]

November 7th, 2008
See me in the latest issue of “Technical Analyst”, Trading Volatility with the VIX
Stocks take employment report and GM earnings in stride.
After one of the largest two day drops in history, the domestic indices traded in positive territory despite another onslaught of crippling economic news.  The term “dead-cat bounce” is being used [...]

November 6th, 2008
See me in the latest issue of “Technical Analyst”, Trading Volatility with the VIX
Global rate cuts and economic worries weigh on stocks.
Stocks extended losses following massive global rate cuts and ahead of the dreaded non-farm payrolls data.  Adding to the bearish tone, retailers reported weak sales for October and Cisco Systems claims [...]

November 6th, 2008
See me in the latest issue of “Technical Analyst”, Trading Volatility with the VIX

U.S. Treasury futures rally in volatile trade.
Profit taking ahead of tomorrow’s employment numbers were blamed for an early morning breakdown in pricing.  the move occurred despite the an ECB and British central bank rate cut announcement .  Insiders noted [...]

The Bond Bulletin by Carley Garner

Slight easing in the credit markets and sell stop running keeps Treasuries down.

The Treasury markets continue to price in another quarter point rate cut by the Fed and likely the same action by the European Central Bank.  Injected liquidity along with aggressive rate cuts is being seen [...]